Friday 15th January: Technical Outlook and Review
Europe’s single currency concluded European trading off worst levels against the US dollar Thursday, following a spike to lows at 1.2111. To the upside (H4), possible resistance could shape at 1.22, bolstered by a collection of Fibonacci retracement levels and a Quasimodo resistance left shoulder (green arrow).
Thursday 14th January: Technical Outlook and Review
GBP/USD grasped the underside of the 1.37 figure on Wednesday, supported by Quasimodo resistance at 1.3686, and explored lower territory as the US dollar index reclaimed a large portion of Tuesday’s losses.
Wednesday 13th January: Technical Outlook and Review
The US dollar index snapping a three-day bullish phase prompted a modest euro bid Tuesday, reclaiming space above 1.2150. As evident from the H4 space, price action is on track to retest the underside of the 1.22 figure, fixed just south of a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement ratio at 1.2213 and January’s opening value from 1.2239.
Tuesday 12th January: Technical Outlook and Review
Nestled within the walls of weekly supply mentioned above at 1.2420-1.2214 is a daily supply base coming in at 1.2344-1.2279, which capped upside and guided the pair to daily support mentioned above at 1.2165.
Monday 11th January: Weekly Technical Outlook and Review
According to the US Bureau of Labour Statistics on Friday, total non-farm employment fell by 140,000 in December vs. expectations of a 60,000 rise – the first decline in employment since the job market started to recover in May. The US unemployment rate was unchanged at 6.7% (expected: 6.8%), and average hourly earnings jumped to 0.8% from 0.3% (expected: 0.2%).
Friday 8th January: Technical Outlook and Review
In terms of macroeconomic data, US unemployment claims rose 787k, while the US ISM services PMI came in strongly above expectations at 57.2. It should also be pointed out the US dollar index outperformed, weighing on any EUR/USD upside.
Thursday 7th January: Technical Outlook and Review
The US dollar index (DXY) concluded Wednesday undecided a touch off multi-year troughs. This, in conjunction with EUR/USD H4 resistance at 1.2347, a level supported by a number of key Fibonacci levels (1.2363/1.2340), weighed on the pair during US hours, feeding moves back to the 1.23 figure. South of the round number, traders will acknowledge trend line support, extended from the low 1.1602.
Wednesday 6th January: Technical Outlook and Review
Renewed USD downside (US dollar index < 98.50) provided fresh impetus to EUR/USD Tuesday, with H4 climbing 1.23. Clearing offers around the aforementioned round number swings the pendulum in favour of further gains towards resistance at 1.2347, a level supported by a potential AB=CD pattern (green arrows) and a number of key Fibonacci levels (1.2363/1.2340).
Tuesday 5th January: Technical Outlook and Review
EUR/USD defended 1.23 on the H4, guiding candle action beneath 1.2250 and shining the spotlight on trend line support, taken from the low 1.1602. Also close by are the 38.2% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement ratios at 1.2213 and 1.2198, respectively, as well as the 1.22 figure.
