Wednesday had the EUR/USD unchanged at the close of trade in London. A fleeting move north of the 1.09 handle emerged, yet 1.0908 proved challenging to overcome, sending the pair to H4 support at 1.0857. Note 1.09 links with a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement ratio.
The US dollar index, measures the value of the US dollar against a basket of foreign currencies, remained on the backfoot Tuesday, aided by less-than-stellar US consumer confidence, with the unit poised to continue declining until reaching daily support at 98.45.
Europe’s shared currency kicked off the week lower against the buck, pencilling in a decisive opening gap. Early Europe witnessed a run to 1.0805, before spiking to highs of 1.0841 amid a modestly better-than-expected German IFO print.
After toppling the 2016 yearly opening level at 1.0873, channel support, taken from the low 1.1109, welcomed a test last week and held price higher. Producing a hammer candlestick formation (a bullish signal at troughs), the unit now faces 1.0873 as potential resistance this week.
Key risk events today: Eurozone Flash Manufacturing/Services PMIs; UK Flash Manufacturing PMI and Flash Services PMI; Canada Core Retail Sales m/m and Retail Sales m/m; US Flash Manufacturing PMI. (Previous analysis as well as outside sources – italics). EUR/USD: EUR/USD concluded Thursday pretty much unchanged, but did manage to chalk up a bearish outside formation … Continue reading Friday 21st February: Technical Outlook and Review.
