ICMarket

Monday 4th August 2025: Technical Outlook and Review

DXY (U.S. Dollar Index):

Potential Direction: Bullish

Overall momentum of the chart: Bearish

The price is trading near the pivot and could make a bullish bounce off and rise toward the 1st resistance.                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         

Pivot: 98.63
Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap support, indicating a potential area where buying interest could pick up.

1st support: 96.62

Supporting reasons: Identified as a swig low support, indicating a potential area where the price could again stabilize.

1st resistance: 101.90
Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap resistance, indicating a potential area that could halt any further upward movement.

EUR/USD:

Potential Direction: Bearish

Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish

The price has already tested the pivot and is rejecting it, moving downward to the 1st support

Pivot: 1.1587

Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback resistance, indicating a potential area where selling pressures could intensify.

1st support: 1.1186
Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, indicating a potential level where the price could stabilize once again.

1st resistance: 1.1807
Supporting reasons: Identified as a swing high resistance, indicating a potential level that could cap further upward movement.

EUR/JPY:

Potential Direction: Bearish

Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish

The price could rise toward the pivot and make a bearish reversal off this level and drop toward the 1st support.

Pivot: 171.89

Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback resistance, indicating a potential area where selling pressures could intensify.

1st support: 168.27
Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback support that aligns closely with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, indicating a potential area where the price could again stabilize.

1st resistance: 175.21
Supporting reasons: Identified as a swing high resistance, indicating a potential level that could cap further upward movement.

EUR/GBP: 

Potential Direction: Bearish
Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish

The price could rise toward the pivot and make a bearish reversal off this level and drop toward the 1st support.

Pivot: 0.8766

Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback resistance, indicating a potential area where selling pressures could intensify.

1st support: 0.8563
Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement, indicating a potential area where the price could stabilize once more.

1st resistance: 0.8876
Supporting reasons: Identified as a swing high resistance, indicating a potential level that could cap further upward movement.

GBP/USD:

Potential Direction: Bearish
Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish

The price could rise toward the pivot and make a bearish reversal off this level and drop toward the 1st support.

Pivot: 1.3104

Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback resistance, indicating a potential area where selling pressures could intensify..

1st support: 1.3104
Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap support that aligns closely with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and the 100% Fibonacci projection, indicating a potential area where the price could stabilize once more.

1st resistance: 1.3622
Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback resistance, indicating a potential level that could halt further upward movement.

GBP/JPY:

Potential Direction: Bullish

Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish

The price is trading near the pivot and could make a bullish bounce off this level and rise  toward the 1st resistance

Pivot: 195.05
Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback support, indicating a potential area where buying interest could pick up.

1st support: 192.21
Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap support, indicating a potential level where the price could stabilize once more.

1st resistance: 198.18
Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback resistance, indicating a potential level that could halt further upward movement.

USD/CHF:

Potential Direction: Bullish

Overall momentum of the chart: Bearish

The price has already tested the pivot and could make a bullish rise toward the 1st resistance.

Pivot: 0.8044
Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback support, indicating a potential area where selling interests could pick up to stage a rebound.

1st support: 0.7893
Supporting reasons: Identified as a swing low support, indicating a potential level where the price could stabilize once again.

1st resistance: 0.8198
Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap resistance, indicating a potential level that could cap further upward movement.

USD/JPY:

Potential Direction: Bullish

Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish

The price is trading near the pivot and could make a bullish bounce off this level and rise  toward the 1st resistance

Pivot: 146.74
Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback support, indicating a potential area where buying interest could pick up

1st support: 142.12
Supporting reasons: Marked as an overlap support, indicating a strong area where buyers might return, and the price could stabilize once again.

1st resistance: 150.99
Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap resistance. This level represents the next key area where upward movement could be capped amid increased selling pressure

USD/CAD:

Potential Direction: Bullish

Overall momentum of the chart: Bearish

The price is trading bear the pivot and could make a bullish bounce off this level and rise toward the 1st resistance.

Pivot: 1.3753

Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback support that aligns closely with the 50% Fibnacco retracement. This level may attract buying interest, acting as a springboard for further upward momentum.

1st support: 1.3560

Supporting reasons: Identified as a swing low support, indicating a key level where the price could stabilize once more.

1st resistance: 1.4025

Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap resistance, making it a possible target for bullish advances and a level where some sellers could return to cap gains

AUD/USD:

Potential Direction: Bearish

Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish

The price has already tested the pivot and is rejecting it, moving downward to the 1st support

Pivot: 0.6484

Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback resistance, indicating a potential area where selling pressures could intensify.

1st support: 0.6327

Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback support lines up closely with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, this area has provided strong support historically and may attract buying interest for a potential short-term bounce

1st resistance: 0.6642
Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap resistance, indicating a potential area that could halt any further upward movement.

NZD/USD

Potential Direction: Bearish

Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish

The price has already tested the pivot and is rejecting it, moving downward to the 1st support

Pivot: 0.5924

Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback resistance, indicating a potential area where selling pressures could intensify.

1st support: 0.5822

Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback support lining up closely with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension, this area has provided strong support historically and may attract buying interest for a potential short-term bounce

1st resistance: 0.6043

Supporting reasons: Identified as a swing high resistance, indicating a potential area that could halt any further upward movement.

US30 (DJIA):

Potential Direction: Bearish

Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish

The price could rise toward the pivot and make a bearish reversal off and fall toward the 1st support. 

Pivot: 43,947.87
Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback resistance, indicating a potential area where selling interests could pick up to resume the downtrend.

1st support: 42,659.87

Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback support, suggesting a potential area where the price could stabilize once again.

1st resistance: 45,102.80

Supporting reasons: Identified as a swing high resistance t indicating a potential area that could halt any further upward movement.

DE40 (DAX):

Potential Direction: Bearish

Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish

The price is rising toward the pivot and could make a bearish reversal off and fall toward the 1st support. 

Pivot: 23,978.78
Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback resistance, indicating a potential area where selling interests could pick up to resume the downtrend.

1st support: 23,358.49

Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap support that aligns closely with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement, indicating a key level where the price could stabilize once more.

1st resistance: 24,638.04
Supporting reasons: Identified as a swing high resistance, indicating a potential area that could halt any further upward movement.

US500 (S&P 500): 

Potential Direction: Bullish

Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish

The price is falling toward the pivot and could make a bullish bounce off and rise toward the 1st resistance. 

Pivot: 6,143.82

Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback support, indicating a potential area where buying interests could pick up to resume the uptrend.

1st support: 5,780.84

Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, indicating a potential level where the price could stabilize once again.

1st resistance: 6,413.72

Supporting reasons: Identified as a swing high resistance, indicating a potential area that could halt any further upward movement.

BTC/USD (Bitcoin):

Potential Direction: Bearish 

Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish

The price could rise toward the pivot and make a bearish reversal off this level and drop toward the 1st support.

Pivot: 116.992

Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback resistance, indicating a potential area where selling pressures could intensify.

1st support: 110.825.84

Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement, indicating a potential level where the price could stabilize once more.

1st resistance: 120,451.07

Supporting reasons: Identified as a swing high resistance, indicating a potential area that could halt any further upward movement.

ETH/USD (Ethereum):

Potential Direction: Bearish

Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish

The price is trading near the pivot and could make a bearish fall toward the 1st suport

Pivot: 3,580.58

Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback resistance, indicating a potential area where selling pressures could intensify.

1st support: 3,305.31

Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback support that aligns closely with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, indicating a potential level where the price could stabilize once more.

1st resistance: 3,950.23
Supporting reasons: Identified as a swing high resistance,  indicating a potential area that could halt any further upward movement.

WTI/USD (Oil):

Potential Direction: Bullish

Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish

The price could fall toward the pivot and make a bullish bounce off this level and rise toward the 1st resistance.

Pivot: 64.26
Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback support that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, indicating a potential area where selling interests could pick up to stage a rebound.

1st support: 57.52
Supporting reasons: Identified as a multi-swing swing low support, indicating a key level where the price could stabilize once more.

1st resistance: 71.40
Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap resistance,  indicating a potential area that could halt any further upward movement.

XAU/USD (GOLD):

Potential Direction: Bearish

Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish

The price could continue its downward trend toward the 1st support 

Pivot: 3,369.89

Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback resistance, indicating a potential area where selling pressures could intensify.

1st support: 3,140.48
Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap support,  indicating a key level where the price could stabilize once more.

1st resistance: 3,503.36
Supporting reasons: Identified as a swing high resistance, indicating a potential area that could halt any further upward movement.

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