ICMarket

Thursday 4th April 2024: Technical Outlook and Review

DXY (US Dollar Index):

Potential Direction: Bullish

Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish

Price could potentially make a bullish bounce off pivot and head towards 1st resistance

Pivot: 104.20

Supporting reasons: Acts as an Overlap support with a 50% Fibonacci Retracement, indicating a key level where buying interest might intensify, suggesting a solid foundation for a potential upward movement within the context of the overall bullish trend.

1st support: 103.56

Supporting reasons: Known as Pullback support with a 78.60% Fibonacci Retracement, suggesting a significant area where the market has previously found strong buying interest, providing a foundation for potential price stabilization or a minor rebound.

1st resistance: 104.99

Supporting reasons: Identified as Multi-swing high resistance, marking a significant barrier that has capped previous upward movements.

EUR/USD:

Potential Direction: Bearish

Overall momentum of the chart: Bearish

Price could potentially make a: Bearish reaction off pivot and drop to 1st support

Pivot: 1.0872

Supporting reasons: Acts as an Overlap resistance with a 61.80% Fibonacci Retracement, indicating a key level where selling pressure might intensify, suggesting a potential turning point for the price to reverse and move downwards within the context of the overall bearish trend.

1st support: 1.0802

Supporting reasons: Known as Pullback support, suggesting a significant area where the market has previously found strong buying interest, providing a foundation for potential price stabilization or a minor rebound within the context of a bearish move.

1st resistance: 1.0916

Supporting reasons: Identified as an Overlap resistance, marking a significant barrier that has capped previous upward movements.

EUR/JPY:

Potential Direction: Bearish

Overall momentum of the chart: Bearish

Price could potentially make a: Bearish reaction off pivot and drop to 1st support

Pivot: 164.61

Supporting reasons: Acts as Pullback resistance with a 78.60% Fibonacci Retracement, indicating a key level where selling pressure might intensify, suggesting a potential turning point for the price to reverse and move downwards within the context of the overall bearish trend.

1st support: 163.42

Supporting reasons: Known as Pullback support, suggesting a significant area where the market has previously found strong buying interest, providing a foundation for potential price stabilization or a minor rebound within the bearish movement.

1st resistance: 165.33

Supporting reasons: Identified as Swing high resistance, marking a significant barrier that has capped previous upward movements.

EUR/GBP:

Potential Direction: Bearish

Overall momentum of the chart: Bearish

Price could potentially make a bearish reaction off pivot and drop to 1st support

Pivot: 0.8573

Supporting reasons: Acts as an Overlap resistance, indicating a key level where selling pressure might intensify, suggesting a potential turning point for the price to reverse and move downwards within the context of the overall bearish trend.

1st support: 0.8547

Supporting reasons: Known as Pullback support, suggesting a significant area where the market has previously found strong buying interest, providing a foundation for potential price stabilization or a minor rebound within the bearish movement.

1st resistance: 0.8602

Supporting reasons: Identified as Swing high resistance, marking a significant barrier that has capped previous upward movements.

GBP/USD:

Potential Direction: Bearish

Overall momentum of the chart: Bearish

Price could potentially make a: Bearish reaction off pivot and drop to 1st support

Pivot: 1.2674

Supporting reasons: The pivot acts as Pullback resistance with a combination of a 50% Fibonacci Retracement and a 127.20% Fibonacci Extension, indicating a significant level of Fibonacci confluence. This suggests a strong technical backdrop where selling pressure might increase, pointing to a potential for continued bearish movement in the context of the overall downward trend.

1st support: 1.2587

Supporting reasons: Identified as Pullback support, indicating a significant area where the market has previously found strong buying interest, providing a foundation for potential price stabilization or a rebound within the context of the ongoing bearish movement.

1st resistance: 1.2755

Supporting reasons: Serves as Pullback resistance with a 78.60% Fibonacci Retracement, marking a significant barrier that could limit upward movements.

GBP/JPY:

Potential Direction: Bearish

Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish

Price could potentially make a: Bearish reaction off pivot and drop to 1st support

Pivot: 192.14

Supporting reasons: Acts as Pullback resistance with a 61.80% Fibonacci Retracement and a 161.80% Fibonacci Extension, indicating a significant level of Fibonacci confluence. This suggests a strong technical backdrop where selling pressure might increase, pointing to a potential for continued bearish movement despite the overall bullish trend.

1st support: 191.24

Supporting reasons: Known as Pullback support, suggesting a significant area where the market has previously found strong buying interest, providing a foundation for potential price stabilization or a minor rebound within the context of the ongoing bearish movement.

1st resistance: 193.39

Supporting reasons: Identified as Multi-swing high resistance, marking a significant barrier that has capped previous upward movements.

USD/CHF:

Potential Direction: Bullish

Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish

Price could potentially make a: Bullish bounce off pivot and head towards 1st resistance

Pivot: 0.9009

Supporting reasons: Acts as an Overlap resistance with a 23.60% Fibonacci Retracement, indicating a key level where buying pressure might intensify, suggesting a solid foundation for a potential upward movement within the context of the overall bullish trend.

1st support: 0.8909

Supporting reasons: Known as Pullback support with a 50% Fibonacci Retracement, suggesting a significant area where the market has previously found strong buying interest, providing a foundation for potential price stabilization or a rebound within the bullish movement.

1st resistance: 0.9089

Supporting reasons: Identified as Multi-swing high resistance, marking a significant barrier that has capped previous upward movements.

USD/JPY:

Potential Direction: Neutral

Overall momentum of the chart: Neutral

Price could potentially: Fluctuate between the 1st resistance and 1st support level.

1st support: 150.84

Supporting reasons: Acts as an Overlap support, indicating a key level where buying interest has historically been strong, suggesting a solid foundation for potential price stabilization or a rebound if it retreats from higher levels.

1st resistance: 151.96

Supporting reasons: Identified as Multi-swing high resistance with a 127.20% Fibonacci Extension, marking a significant barrier that has capped previous upward movements.

USD/CAD:

Potential Direction: Bearish

Overall momentum of the chart: Neutral

Price has broken below the pivot and could potentially make a bearish drop towards the 1st support

Pivot: 1.3523

Supporting reasons: Previously identified as a pullback support that aligns close to a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level suggesting a significant area where the market has previously found strong buying interest. However, bearish momentum could now drive price lower from the pivot.

1st support: 1.3466

Supporting reasons: Identified as a swing-low support that aligns close to a 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level suggesting a significant area where the market has previously found strong buying interest, providing a foundation for potential price stabilization.

1st resistance: 1.3580

Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback resistance, marking a significant barrier that could cap further upward movements.

AUD/USD:

Potential Direction: Bearish

Overall momentum of the chart: Neutral

Price could potentially rise towards the pivot before making a bearish reaction to drop towards the 1st support

Pivot: 0.6588

Supporting reasons: Acts as an overlap resistance that aligns close to a 127.2% Fibonacci retracement level, suggesting a potential barrier against further upward movement.

1st support: 0.6554

Supporting reasons: Acts as an overlap support, suggesting a significant area where price has previously found strong support, providing a basis for a potential price stabilization or a minor rebound.

1st resistance: 0.6623

Supporting reasons: Identified as a swing-high, marking a significant barrier that has previously capped upward movements.

NZD/USD

Potential Direction: Bearish

Overall momentum of the chart: Bearish

Price could potentially make a bearish reaction off the pivot and drop towards the 1st support

Pivot: 0.6030

Supporting reasons: Acts as an overlap resistance where selling pressures may pick up and cause price to reverse.

1st support: 0.5939

Supporting reasons: Acts as a pullback support, suggesting a potential area for price stabilization or a minor rebound within the bearish context.

1st resistance: 0.6094

Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback resistance that aligns close to a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, marking a significant barrier that could cap upward movements.

US30 (DJIA):

Potential Direction: Bullish

Overall momentum of the chart: Neutral

Price has made a bullish reaction off the pivot and could potentially rise towards the 1st resistance

Pivot: 39,078.84

Supporting reasons: Acts as a pullback support where price has found strong buying interest in recent weeks.

1st support: 38,693.81

Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback support, suggesting a significant area where price has previously found strong buying interest and could provide a solid foundation for potential price stabilization or a rebound.

1st resistance: 39,416.74

Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap resistance resistance that aligns with a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, indicating a potential barrier that could cap further upward movements.

DE40 (DAX):

Potential Direction: Bullish

Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish

Price could potentially rise towards the pivot before making a bearish reaction off this level to drop towards the 1st support

Pivot: 18,567.67

Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback resistance that aligns with a 78.6% Fibonacci projection level, suggesting a potential zone where price could face selling pressures and make a bearish reaction.

1st support: 18,037.52

Supporting reasons: Acts as an overlap support, suggesting a significant area where price has previously found strong buying interest and could provice a solid foundation for a potential price stabilization or a rebound.

1st resistance: 18,837.43

Supporting reasons: Marked by a 100% Fibonacci Projection, indicating a significant barrier that could cap further upward movements. Overcoming this level would underscore the strength of the bullish momentum.

US500 (S&P 500): 

Potential Direction: Bullish

Overall momentum of the chart: Neutral

Price has made a bullish reaction off the pivot and could potentially rise towards the 1st resistance

Pivot: 5,189.10

Supporting reasons: Acts as an overlap support where buying interest could be strong, suggesting a solid foundation for a potential price stabilization or a rebound.

1st support: 5,115.50

Supporting reasons: Acts as a pullback support that aligns close to a 50% Fibonacci retracement level suggesting a significant area where price has previously found strong buying interest, providing a solid foundation should price beyond the pivot.

1st resistance: 5,282.06

Supporting reasons: Marked by a pullback resistance at the all-time high, indicating a significant barrier that could cap further upward movements.

BTC/USD (Bitcoin):

Potential Direction: Bearish

Overall momentum of the chart: Neutral

Price could potentially make a bearish continuation towards the 1st support

1st support: 61,521.91

Supporting reasons: Acts as a swing-low support that aligns with a confluence of Fibonacci levels i.e. the 50% retracement and 78.6% projection levels, suggesting a significant area where price has previously found strong buying interest and could provide a solid foundation for potential price stabilization or a rebound in the event of a pullback.

1st resistance: 71,672.15

Supporting reasons: Marked by a pullback resistance, indicating a significant barrier that could cap further upward movements.

ETH/USD (Ethereum):

Potential Direction: Bullish

Overall momentum of the chart: Neutral

Price could potentially make a bullish bounce off the pivot and rise towards the 1st resistance

Pivot: 3,233.72

Supporting reasons: Acts as a pullback support that aligns close to a 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level indicating a key level where buying interest has historically been strong, suggesting a solid foundation for a potential price stabilization or a rebound.

1st support: 3,111.04

Supporting reasons: Identified as a swing-low support suggesting a significant area where price has previously found support, providing a strong foundation for further downward movements.

1st resistance: 3,661.29

Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback resistance that aligns close to a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, marking a significant barrier that has previously capped upward movements.

WTI/USD (Oil):

Potential Direction: Bullish

Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish

Price could potentially make a bullish continuation towards the pivot and stall around this region

Pivot: 86.67

Supporting reasons: Marked by an overlap resistance that aligns close to a 78.6% Fibonacci projection level, indicating a significant level where selling pressure might intensify.

1st support: 83.52

Supporting reasons: Identified as an overlap support, suggesting a significant area where price has previously found strong buying interest and could provide a solid foundation for potential price stabilization or a rebound.

1st resistance: 89.26

Supporting reasons: Identified as a pullback resistance, marking a significant barrier that could cap further upward movements.

XAU/USD (GOLD):

Potential Direction: Bearish

Overall momentum of the chart: Bullish

Price could potentially make a: Bearish reaction off pivot and drop to 1st support

Pivot: 2311.03

Supporting reasons: Acts as Swing high resistance with a 78.60% Fibonacci Projection, indicating a significant level where selling pressure might intensify, suggesting a potential turning point for the price to reverse and move downwards within the context of the overall bullish trend.

1st support: 2212.51

Supporting reasons: Known as Pullback support, suggesting a significant area where the market has previously found strong buying interest, providing a foundation for potential price stabilization or a minor rebound within the bearish movement.

1st resistance: 2400.61

Supporting reasons: While not explicitly stated, this level likely represents a significant barrier based on technical analysis or historical price action that could cap upward movements, highlighting its importance as a critical threshold for the price action.

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