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Friday 28th May 2021: Technical Outlook and Review

EUR/USD:

Looking at the weekly chart, we can see that prices are seeing further limited upside before it reaches our resistance area at 1.22900. On the daily chart, price is holding above support at 1.21200 where we could possibly see some bullish pressure with 1.22900 as our resistance target as well. 

On the H4 timeframe, prices are facing bullish pressure from our support at 1.21705, in line with the ascending trend line and 50% fibonacci retracement where we could see a further upside above this level with 1.22900 as our first resistance target. Failure to hold above the 1.21705 support level could see a swing towards our next support target at 1.20700. 

Areas of consideration:

  • 1.22900 resistance area found on H4 time frame
  • 1.21705 support area found on H4 time frame

GBP/USD:

Looking at the weekly chart, we can see that prices are facing bullish pressure from our ascending trend line and support at 1.40200 where we could see a further upside above this level to our resistance target at 1.43000, in line with the 78.6% fibonacci extension. The daily time frame echoes the same bullish view as well where we could see a limited upside above our support level at 1.38000 with 1.43000 as our resistance target. 

On the H4 timeframe, prices are trading between our support and resistance levels at 1.41123 and 1.42200 respectively. A break above the resistance at 1.42200 in line with our 127.2% fibonacci extension could see a further push up to our next resistance target at 1.43000. 

Areas of consideration:

  • 1.42200 resistance area found on H4 time frame
  • 1.41123 support area found on H4 timeframe

AUD/USD:

From the Weekly timeframe, we see price trending between the previous swing high in line with 78.6% fibonacci retracement, and the ascending trendline, which is currently being tested.  From the daily timeframe, we see that price has closed back up above the ascending trendline, and is currently testing the 0.77165 level, in line with 78.6% fibonacci retracement. 

On the H4 timeframe, We see price bounced from the recent 78.6% fibonacci retracement at 0.77304 and is pushing its way up towards the 0.77678 level, in line with 61.8% and -27% fibonacci retracement level.

Areas of consideration:

  • H4 timeframe, price may push further up towards 0.77678
  • Daily and weekly time frames showing weak bullish momentum.

USD/JPY

From the weekly timeframe, prices are facing resistance from horizontal swing high resistance which coincides with 50% Fibonacci retracement and 78.6% Fibonacci extension, taking support from 104.224 level which is in line with 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and 78.6% Fibonacci extension. On the daily time frame, prices are facing support from 108.425 level which coincides with 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and 50% Fibonacci extension. Prices might bounce towards daily resistance level 110.978 in line with 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Daily EMA is also below prices, showing a bullish pressure for prices. 

On the H4 timeframe, prices might take support on 108.425 support level in line with 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and 50% Fibonacci extension. Prices might push up towards daily resistance level of 110.978. If prices did not push up further, prices could fall and take support on 106.916 level, in line with 161.8% Fibonacci retracement. MACD is also above the zero line, giving a bullish pressure on prices.  

 Areas of consideration:

  •  On the H4, prices might push up towards 110.978 daily resistance level
  • 108.425 support level on the H4 timeframe
  • 108.425 support level on the daily timeframe

USD/CAD:

From the Weekly timeframe, we see price trending between the previous swing high in line with 78.6% fibonacci retracement, and the ascending trendline, which is currently being tested and pushed away from.  From the daily timeframe, we see that price pushed away from 1.21336 in line with 78.6% fibonacci extension and 61.8% fibonacci retracement, where its making its way towards 1.20284, in line with weekly support and 61.8% fibonacci extension. If price breaks below this level we may see a push further down towards the next support level at 1.19619.

The H4 timeframe shows price testing the level of 1.20645, in line with 78.6% fibonacci retracement, if price manages to break under this level, we may see a further drop  towards 1.20255, in line with Weekly, daily support and 127% fibonacci retracement.

Areas of consideration:

  • The weekly and daily time frame shows a potential further pull back from this bearish momentum.
  • On H4, price may break under 1.20645 and push down towards 1.20255.

USD/CHF:

USD/CHF is now testing the weekly 0.89800 support, in line with 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and 78.6% Fibonacci extension. The daily chart shows that price is now holding below the key daily 0.92300 support-turned-resistance, and has also broken below the ascending trendline support-turned-resistance. The weekly 0.89800 support level is a key level to watch.

On the H4 chart, we can see that price continues to make sideways movement as it is now retesting the weekly 0.89800 support level, in line with 61.8% Fibonacci extension. We also note that price has just reversed from, is now holding below the Ichimoku cloud resistance, showing bearish pressure in line with our analysis. In this scenario, a break and close below the key 0.89800 support would see price swing towards the next weekly 0.87600 support level. Otherwise, price could also pull back to retest the Ichimoku cloud resistance and previous resistance at 0.90800.

Areas of consideration:

  • The 0.89800 weekly support is a key intraday level to watch as price makes a sideways movement.
  • Price is facing bearish pressure as it holds below the Ichimoku cloud resistance.

Dow Jones Industrial Average:

On the weekly chart, price traded sideways. With price holding above the long term moving average, we can expect further bullish pressure above 32765 support. On the daily chart, price pulled back lower and reacted above moving average and also above ascending trendline support. Buyers added to their longs and a bounce can be seen at the 33800 level as prices push up to daily resistance level of 35970, all the while trading above the daily EMA. 

On the H4, prices drifted higher and still holding above 33800 support. A push up might be seen towards the 35091.56 resistance as prices are still holding nicely above the EMA on the 4-hour time frame. Failure to see the push up could see prices even breaking below 33800, swinging towards 32696 support level.

Areas of consideration:

  • Technical indicators across all timeframes confirm bullish momentum

XAU/USD (GOLD):

On the weekly timeframe, prices are facing bullish pressure and could see a further upside, with 1965 as the weekly resistance target. We could see renewed bullish pressure this coming week. On the daily, price broke and closed above descending trendline resistance (now support). There is now a greater probability of a bullish scenario above 1850 support with much room towards 1965 resistance. Otherwise, a break below 1850 support will see price re-integrate previous trend.

On the H4, price pulled back lower and seems to be approaching support at 1888. We could see buyers add to their longs above this level with a possible upside target at 1921. Otherwise, failure to hold above 1888 will see price drop towards 1858 support. 

Areas of consideration:

  • 1888 support level on the H4 time frame 

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